Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
LEY
0 - 2
BOL
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
BOL
4 - 1
STO
88%
9%
4%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
WBA
2 - 0
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
OLD
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
BOL
2 - 0
GLO
82%
11%
6%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1909 |
DER
1 - 1
TOT
42%
24%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
DER
2 - 1
WBA
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
DER
2 - 1
FUL
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1909 |
DER
4 - 0
GLO
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
GRI
2 - 0
DER
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |