Bolton Wanderers vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
BOL
2 - 1
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
STO
1 - 2
BOL
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
BOL
6 - 2
LUT
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1997 |
LUT
1 - 1
BOL
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 0
WOL
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
PNE
0 - 1
CHE
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1997 |
CHE
2 - 0
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 1
BOU
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
WYC
1 - 0
CHE
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CHE
2 - 0
SCA
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |