Bolton Wanderers vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
MID
1 - 1
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
3 - 0
MUD
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
IPS
3 - 0
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
3 - 1
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 3
COV
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
CHL
2 - 1
BIR
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
MAC
2 - 3
CHL
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
IPS
5 - 1
CHL
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |