Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOL
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 3
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
5 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 1
OPA
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 4
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
CAR
3 - 3
CHL
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |