Bolton Wanderers vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 3
LIV
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
MUD
0 - 1
BOL
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
WRE
2 - 2
BCF
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 1
HAR
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
BRO
2 - 1
BCF
43%
27%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BOU
1 - 2
BCF
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BCF
1 - 0
STO
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |