Bolton Wanderers vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 3
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
BOL
5 - 2
BBU
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 1
BRI
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
BAR
1 - 0
BCF
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 3
ASV
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 2
BCF
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 0
BRM
95%
4%
1%
|
76 | 10 | 66 | 0 |