EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-1
Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
BRA
2 - 4
BOL
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
BRI
0 - 0
BOL
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 0
OPA
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
BOL
6 - 1
GRI
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
5 - 2
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
BRI
4 - 1
WAL
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
BRI
0 - 0
BOL
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ROT
2 - 2
BRI
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
STF
1 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
PNE
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |