EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Bolton Wanderers vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
MUD
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
ASV
1 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
BOL
2 - 1
BBU
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 3
NEW
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 0
WAL
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 0
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
0 - 2
SWI
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 0
HUL
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |