Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
BOL
0 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 2
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1957 |
CAR
2 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
BOL
5 - 3
LEE
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
TOT
4 - 0
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1957 |
MIL
1 - 4
BIR
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
BIR
2 - 2
WOL
45%
22%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1957 |
CAR
1 - 2
BIR
48%
23%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1957 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
PNE
1 - 0
BIR
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |