Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPA
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BOL
3 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
WBA
2 - 1
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |