Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City analysis

Bolton Wanderers Birmingham City
78 ELO 81
-3% Tilt -17%
488º General ELO ranking 1228º
29º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Bolton Wanderers
22.2%
Draw
21.4%
Birmingham City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.4%
Win probability
Birmingham City
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolton Wanderers
-11%
+17%
Birmingham City

ELO progression

Bolton Wanderers
Birmingham City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 1937
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
59%
21%
20%
78 79 1 0
13 Nov. 1937
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
55%
23%
22%
78 82 4 0
06 Nov. 1937
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
2 - 4
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
66%
18%
16%
77 78 1 +1
30 Oct. 1937
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
5 - 5
Chelsea
CHL
50%
24%
27%
77 81 4 0
23 Oct. 1937
CHA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
60%
21%
19%
77 80 3 0

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 1937
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 0
Wolves
WOL
51%
22%
27%
80 83 3 0
13 Nov. 1937
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 3
Birmingham City
BIR
45%
23%
32%
80 71 9 0
06 Nov. 1937
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 2
Huddersfield Town
HUR
52%
23%
25%
80 81 1 0
30 Oct. 1937
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
71%
16%
13%
80 85 5 0
23 Oct. 1937
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 0
Derby County
DER
51%
22%
28%
80 82 2 0
X