Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
BOL
2 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
WBA
0 - 5
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
BOL
2 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 1
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
BOL
7 - 1
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
TOT
1 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 0
WBA
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
WBA
0 - 0
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 1
EVE
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |