League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Bolton Wanderers vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POS
3 - 3
BOL
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 2
STF
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
OPA
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BPO
3 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OPA
3 - 2
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |