Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
0 - 1
LEY
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1963 |
LEY
0 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 0
BPO
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
BIR
2 - 2
BOL
55%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
WOL
39%
22%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
WOL
3 - 1
ASV
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
BUR
3 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |