Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1951 |
CHL
4 - 0
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 1
WOL
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
73%
15%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 1
SHW
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1951 |
ASV
6 - 2
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 3
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |