Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
SUN
1 - 2
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
0 - 1
FUL
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
MUD
2 - 3
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
BOL
3 - 0
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 0
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHA
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 2
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
WBA
2 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |