Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
MID
0 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 2
HUR
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1936 |
BOL
4 - 0
GRI
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1936 |
EVE
3 - 3
BOL
68%
17%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 2
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
DER
1 - 3
ASV
64%
18%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 2
BRE
71%
15%
13%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1936 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
OPA
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |