Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
LIV
7 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
HUR
3 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 4
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
BOL
3 - 0
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
MID
3 - 1
BOL
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1930 |
GRI
1 - 2
ASV
40%
23%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
ASV
6 - 1
WHU
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1930 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
MUD
3 - 4
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
ARS
2 - 4
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |