Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
4 - 2
BUR
69%
18%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
NOT
3 - 0
BOL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEE
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 5
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
MUD
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 2
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
ASV
10 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |