Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
HUR
0 - 2
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
HUR
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
BIR
2 - 0
BOL
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
MID
2 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 2
MID
54%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |