Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
3 - 0
WBA
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
MUD
2 - 3
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 2
TOT
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ASV
5 - 0
ARS
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |