Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 7
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
BOL
0 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
SHE
3 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
BOL
4 - 0
MID
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 7
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
BBU
1 - 2
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 3
MUD
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
OLD
3 - 3
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 2
BRA
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |