Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
PNE
1 - 1
BOL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
BOL
0 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
0 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 3
BBU
68%
17%
14%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |