Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
BOL
0 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 3
BOL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
MID
4 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 3
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
OLD
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
4 - 1
ARS
86%
9%
4%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
MUD
4 - 0
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |