Bolton Wanderers vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 1
SHW
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
4 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 3
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 5
ASV
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 1
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |