Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 0
SHW
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1963 |
SHW
3 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1963 |
WBA
1 - 1
BOL
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
BOL
0 - 2
BIR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
BOL
1 - 3
TOT
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
BIR
1 - 4
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1963 |
ARS
0 - 1
LEI
66%
17%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1963 |
LIE
3 - 1
ARS
37%
23%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
WOL
2 - 2
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1963 |
ARS
6 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |