Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
BOL
3 - 2
SHE
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
DER
1 - 3
BOL
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1947 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1947 |
BBU
2 - 1
BOL
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1947 |
BPO
0 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
HUR
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1947 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1947 |
ARS
4 - 1
PNE
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1947 |
STO
3 - 1
ARS
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |