Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 4
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 2
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
STO
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
PNE
1 - 3
ARS
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
PNE
73%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
OPA
1 - 5
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |