Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 1
BOL
62%
19%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 2
HUR
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
MID
3 - 1
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 4
SHW
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
HUR
0 - 1
ARS
41%
22%
37%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 0
BPO
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
EVE
1 - 3
ARS
59%
19%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
ARS
4 - 0
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |