Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
BOL
2 - 0
WBA
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 1
BOL
46%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
BIR
1 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 2
CAR
84%
11%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
ARS
5 - 2
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
BIR
0 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 3
HUR
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
HUR
2 - 0
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |