Bolton Wanderers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
0 - 4
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
MID
5 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 0
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 4
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |