Bologna U19 vs Varese U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
28%
25%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAS
3 - 3
BOL
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
VER
75%
15%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 4
BOL
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 0
VER
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
CES
43%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 1
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |