Bologna U19 vs Varese U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 3
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 1
VIC
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 2
ATA
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
INT
3 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
ATA
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ABL
3 - 0
VAR
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |