Bolognesi Tacna vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 2
ALI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 0
FLA
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
MIL
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
MIL
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
BOL
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
2 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CER
1 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
46%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 4
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |