Bolognesi Tacna vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 3
CNI
37%
28%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 1
BOL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 2
ALI
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 1
AUR
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
31%
29%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
AYA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |