Bolognesi Tacna vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
MEL
55%
27%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAM
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 2
ALI
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CIE
3 - 2
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 2
AUR
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
SPC
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |