Bolognesi FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolognesi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
SBO
0 - 2
BOL
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 2
BOL
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 1
CAU
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 1
CIE
34%
25%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
4 - 0
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |