Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
Bologna vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
BOL
2 - 1
VIC
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MAN
1 - 1
BOL
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
37%
29%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BRU
3 - 1
ZEL
80%
13%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
ZEL
3 - 0
BRU
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
AND
5 - 4
ZEL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
ZEL
3 - 4
AND
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |