Bologna vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 2
BOL
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 0
MOD
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
BOL
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 3
RIM
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
PES
0 - 0
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
VIC
1 - 1
NAP
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
VIC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VIC
1 - 2
FRO
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |