Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 1
BOL
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 0
VER
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 3
LEC
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
FRO
2 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |