Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
4 - 0
ATL
83%
11%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
GEN
3 - 2
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 0
NAP
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
TRI
5 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |