Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
INT
2 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
BOL
4 - 0
NAP
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 2
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
TRI
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |