Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 1
BOL
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
BOL
0 - 0
INT
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
BOL
3 - 1
TOR
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1934 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
INT
7 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
TRI
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1934 |
TOR
3 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |