Bologna vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 10
BOL
34%
22%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIU
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
GEN
0 - 3
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 4
VER
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
TRI
0 - 1
TOR
30%
21%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |