Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Bologna vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
REG
1 - 3
BOL
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
USC
1 - 3
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
BOL
3 - 2
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
USC
2 - 3
COS
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
USC
1 - 3
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
TOR
0 - 1
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
BRE
3 - 1
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |