Bologna vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 0
BRE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 2
BOL
18%
19%
63%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
USA
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 1
USC
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
USC
1 - 2
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
USC
0 - 1
TOR
27%
21%
52%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ACM
5 - 2
USC
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |