Bologna vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 1
BOL
24%
28%
48%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 2
SPE
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
RIM
1 - 2
BOL
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRO
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVE
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 2
BAR
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |