Bologna vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOL
72%
16%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 2
INT
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ROM
0 - 2
USA
75%
15%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
USA
2 - 2
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 0
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
USA
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
USA
4 - 3
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |