Bologna vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 4
VNZ
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
BOL
6 - 3
SIE
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
SIE
0 - 0
BOL
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
BOL
2 - 2
LAZ
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
BRE
3 - 1
USA
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
LEO
4 - 3
USA
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
INT
3 - 0
USA
79%
13%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
USA
0 - 2
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
USA
1 - 5
LAZ
35%
22%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |