Bologna vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
4 - 1
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
PRO
3 - 3
BOL
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
ACM
0 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1933 |
USA
3 - 1
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
TOR
3 - 0
USA
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
USA
2 - 2
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
NAP
4 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
USA
4 - 1
PAD
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |